New energy policy is still difficult to publish at the end of the year

Domestic plans to support the development of new energy vehicles may not be launched as expected.

On November 5th, more than 20 universities and overseas experts returning to China held a workshop on the future of automobile power in Wuzhen. Wang Binggang, head of the supervision team of national energy conservation and new energy vehicle major projects of the National 863 Program, also attended the meeting. A participating expert told reporters that the relevant state departments have carefully reviewed the state's support for the industrialization of electric vehicles, and the 100 billion yuan new energy support policy may also make major adjustments.

In the middle of last year, a draft of the “Energy Conservation and New Energy Vehicle Industry Development Plan” (hereinafter referred to as “Planning”) drafted by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology began to be discussed in the industry. "Planning" proposes to insist on pure electric as the main strategic orientation of China's auto industry transformation. At that time, it was reported that the government will allocate 100 billion yuan to support the research, development, and industrialization of new energy technologies, and has officially submitted the plan to the State Council. It is expected that no accidents will occur in 2010. However, the report to the State Council for more than a year has not yet been announced.

Recently, another media said that the plan is expected to be launched at the end of 2011 at the earliest. Different from previous emphasis on the pure electric vehicle route, the new energy automobile industry plan will increase the support of hybrid vehicles.

In fact, the "Qiushi" magazine published in July published concerns of Premier Wen Jiabao of the State Council of China. He said that "China's emerging industries in some areas or products, technology routes, and development directions are still not very clear. For example, new energy vehicles. What is the direction and ultimate goal of the development? The current focus on the development of hybrid and electric vehicles is not the final product and it is not very clear."

One of the experts who participated in the seminar, Yang Jialin, a senior technologist of Ford Motor Co., Ltd., who had long since returned to China in 2007, questioned hydrogen energy sources with 26 leading experts in the engine field and corrected “hydrogen energy”. The difference between "hydrogen fuel", and put forward in the emphasis on new energy roads, we must pay attention to the traditional power.

Once again questioning electric vehicles, Yang Jialin told reporters that in his opinion, the current high cost of the government to support pure electric vehicles will not help the current energy-saving emission reduction and future energy crisis.

Now, some experts often give detailed data to illustrate that the overall efficiency of electric vehicles is higher than that of gasoline vehicles. However, Yang Jialin believes that there are problems with these data and it is likely to mislead the country’s strategy.

According to a report from the European Union’s Joint Research Center, whether it is energy consumption or CO2 emissions, the number of electric vehicles driven by thermal power is much higher than that of ordinary gasoline or diesel vehicles.

More than 80% of China's electricity supply is thermal power, and the report of the EU Joint Research Center shows that the use of European electricity consumes more than 800MJ/100km, while using gasoline and diesel, this figure is less than 300MJ/100km; CO2 emissions are also As a result, gasoline and diesel-powered vehicles emit CO2 emissions of only 200g/km per kilometre, while European-powered electric vehicles have emissions of approximately 400g/km, and electric vehicles using pure thermal power are more likely to exceed 700g/km. This means that, whether it is energy consumption or emissions, electric vehicles that rely on thermal power are multiplying more than traditional diesel and gasoline vehicles.

"The basis of the calculation should be from Well-To-Wheels, that is, the calculation of electricity should be from the mine to the wheel," Yang Jialin told reporters. “All people in China calculate the opposite conclusion because they did not consider and calculate the energy consumption of coal mining and coal transportation and the resulting emissions.”

According to the "planning" revealed, the maximum subsidy for electric vehicles and plug-in hybrids is 60,000 yuan and 50,000 yuan. The annual output of 10 million cars in China is calculated as long as 20% of the cars are electric cars or plugged in. This type of subsidy is only 120 million yuan, and Yang Jialin believes that now China's promotion of electric vehicles will not only double the CO2 emissions and energy consumption, but also cause a huge financial burden, and if 80% Cars still use gasoline, which is also very limited in saving oil resources.

Yang Jialin said that China is a country that lacks electricity and there is no substantial surplus of electricity supply. Currently, because of state control, electricity prices are relatively low, but in fact, many thermal power companies are losing money. Once prices are released, electric vehicles also face high operating costs. problem.

Yang Jialin believes that the most effective energy-saving is the energy-saving and emission reduction of hybrid vehicles and traditional automobiles. At present, many enterprises in China already have the capacity to mass-produce hybrid vehicles. However, due to the high cost of hybrid vehicles, and the fact that the government does not have a subsidy policy for the private market, hybrid vehicles can only take the government procurement route in the market. This is actually not conducive to the promotion of hybrid vehicles.

He suggested that the government should give corresponding support to hybrid vehicles. In addition, the government should, like the EU, formulate more stringent fuel consumption and emission standards so that each product produced by the automotive companies will continue to reduce emissions and increase efficiency.